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If you're doing 20K~ miles a year, you don't drive too much to lease, imo.
That said, if you are adamant about buying, I'd buy barely used, if possible. I wouldn't buy a 2015 GTI, because there were first year teething issues, and the 2016 got a larger screen with USB port, and AndroidAuto/Apple Carplay. But my DD is a 2016 GTI w/ Perf Pkg, and I love the car. A note on that 16 SE- it doesn't have Nav.
Not much of a fan of the WRX. Doubly so for a car I'd be putting a bunch of miles on. I'd rather have a standard Golf over a Subaru. Maybe even consider a Jetta GLI. They're not as good as the GTI, but residual value is worse, and you can pick low mile ones up for plenty cheap. Plus, they ride well, and have a big back seat.
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