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01-12-2017, 03:13 PM | #45 | |
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We're not talking about speed cameras, downtown parking, or even universal healthcare here. We're talking about a primary method of individual travel and enabler of personal freedom, and an industry that throughout its history has been resistant to change unless it is forced upon it. No offense, because you don't know me ... but my entire career -- careers, actually -- has been made by my ability to think both creatively and practically in real-world situations. My kind of thinking keeps creatives who don't (or can't) see the big picture from being fired, and keeps others properly aware and informed, within certain areas of interest. You're conversing with a bad-ass. Be careful about what you assume. Point taken. But you did decide to engage. And I have done my research (including reading the article you linked to; I'd read it beforehand) and understand the practical hurdles to the blanket adoption of autonomous vehicles. It goes beyond technology. Way beyond technology.
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01-15-2017, 07:59 AM | #46 | |
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Has anyone considered that motorcycles will most likely never become autonomous vehicles...
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A manual transmission can be set to "comfort", "sport", and "track" modes simply by the technique and speed at which you shift it; it doesn't need "modes", modes are for manumatics that try to behave like a real 3-pedal manual transmission. If you can money-shift it, it's a manual transmission. "Yeah, but NO ONE puts an automatic trans shift knob on a manual transmission."
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01-15-2017, 08:33 AM | #47 | |
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But the question is when. The are over 250 million self-driving privately-owned vehicles in the US today. It is not possible to instantly convert the private property part of the new autonomous transportation system over from self-driving to autonomous. Cars are produced and purchase in a just-in-time fashion, where the inventory of cars flows from factory to driveway based on free-market conditions. If the Government sets a mandate to switch over from self-driving to autonomous, say January 1st 2045, all self-driving cars are banned at that point, and people buy cars at $35K a pop and keep them 10 years on average, so when do people stop buying self-driving cars? I'm most certainly not going to buy a $40K self-driving car 5 years before the deadline, and not 2, or 1 year in advance of it. What if my current car in 2040 needs replacement 5 years before the mandate? I don't see this happening ever. It's an engineering pipedream. Yup, it can be accomplished technically, but the adoption of a fully autonomous transportation system by society will be the far grater challenge to solve.
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A manual transmission can be set to "comfort", "sport", and "track" modes simply by the technique and speed at which you shift it; it doesn't need "modes", modes are for manumatics that try to behave like a real 3-pedal manual transmission. If you can money-shift it, it's a manual transmission. "Yeah, but NO ONE puts an automatic trans shift knob on a manual transmission."
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